Sunday, May 3, 2015

The Next Canadian Superstar?


Simon Fraser University receiver and draft-eligle prospect Lemar Durant (#23) runs under a pass in NCAA division II action.


Many experts feel that Simon Fraser product Lemar Durant is not only far and away the best draft-eligible receiver, but the overall most talented player available in the 2015 CFL draft class. That includes all eligible Canadians in both the NCAA and CIS, such as NFL bound studs Tyler Varga from Yale and Brett Boyko from UNLV.

The last time that I can recall a Canadian pass catcher receiving such hype was when University of Western Ontario legend Andy Fantuz was selected with the third overall pick in the 2006 draft by the Saskatchewan Roughriders.

Despite being the best CIS receiver of all time, Fantuz was selected third overall behind defensive end Adam Braidwood and linebacker Jay Pottinger.

Similarly to Fantuz, Durant will likely not be drafted first overall due to the importance of offensive and defensive lineman in the player ratio. Teams typically start three or four national offensive lineman versus two Canadian receivers, while the offensive line position is also without a doubt far more vital to a team’s success than a good receiving corps, particularly the Canadian players on the line.

It's also often considered perhaps a risky pick when clubs decide to use their first round draft pick on a receiver. While being selected in the first round does not mean that the receiver is expected to have a career as successful as Fantuz's or Chris Getzlaf's, it is expected that they develop into a solid starter at some point during their career.

From 2007 to 2014, 11 receivers were taken off the board in the opening round of the draft. The combined average yards-per-season for all 11 is a mere 246 yards. Meanwhile, Andy Fantuz has averaged a whopping 757 yards per season which included a 1,000 yard campaign in 2010.

While Durant's college career was impressive when he was in the lineup, it was not nearly as good as Fantuz's for reasons I'll touch on soon. Although from what I've seen on tape, I think he possesses the skill set to match the former Hec Crighton winner's production in the professional ranks and become the next Canadian superstar.

Durant was originally recruited by the University of Nevada, but transferred to Division II Simon Fraser after redshirting his freshman year with the Wolfpack. He then utilized a medical redshirt in year two to treat juvenile arthritis in his knee, which has not bothered him since he took a year off to treat it in 2011.

Nevada was hoping Durant would return to be an asset in an offence that was centred around some quarterback named Colin Kaepernick. In fact, Nevada coaches even told Durant he would compete for a starting job as a redshirt freshman with Rishard Matthews, who's currently a wideout for the Miami Dolphins. However, he opted to return home and officially start his collegiate career with his high school coach and friends at Simon Fraser, which had just entered the NCAA ranks.

Durant had an incredible freshman year, recording 91 receptions for 1,318 yards (120 YPG) with 17 touchdowns in 11 games. After starting quarterback Trey Wheeler left to pursue bigger and better things in Division I, Durant caught 29 passes for 389 yards and five touchdowns in only four games during his sophomore season while playing with two struggling quarterbacks, which ultimately led to the Clan becoming a very run heavy offence during Durant's final two seasons. Simon Fraser's quarterbacks led the conference in interceptions while Durant missed seven games with an ankle injury; the only sport-related injury of his athletic career.

Durant looked to get back on track in his junior season, but had another case of bad luck as he contracted infectious mononucleosis (mono) and missed another four games. In 23 college games, the Coquitlam, BC native had 175 catches for 2,392 yards and 28 touchdowns, which averages out to 7.6 catches per game, 104 yards, and 1.2 touchdowns. He was named Simon Fraser's offensive MVP in 2012, was a three-time 1st-team All-Conference selection, was named an All-American in 2012 and was selected by Beyond Sports College Network in 2014 as the No. 1 draft sleeper for the 2015 NFL draft. While Durant's stats on paper under these circumstances are quite impressive, it's his game on film that really blows me away.

You don't have to be an expert scout to recognize Durant's raw talent. His highlight tape is essentially six minutes worth of entertainment featuring the 23-year old burning cornerbacks down field
.


Durant is a bigger receiver at 6'3”, 231 pounds, and has great speed for a receiver of that size with a sub 4.5 40-yard dash time. Durant has a large catching radius and maximizes his vertical leap and physicality when fighting for the jump ball. Durant's freakish athleticism, size, speed and big-play ability have me sold that he can immediately be a respectable deep-threat and red-zone target in year one in the CFL.

In order to be labelled as "Fantuzable," Durant will have to find success in the CFL quickly and average around 600 yards with three touchdowns per season for his first three years.

The last rookie national receiver to start a good chunk of games was Edmonton's 2012 first-round pick Shamawd Chambers, who started 11 games, missing time due to injuries, and chipped in 390 yards and two touchdowns.

While Chambers was a first-round pick himself, he was nowhere near the prospect Lemar Durant is. Chambers' best season at Wilfrid Laurier University was his senior year when he recorded 652 receiving yards in eight games, good for 13th overall out of all CIS schools.

Chambers was fortunately put in a good situation to step up mid-season after injuries piled up in Edmonton. He had time to learn and adjust to the professional game before being thrust into the starting lineup for 11 starts. Despite him being far more prepared physically than Chambers, the same is likely to occur for Durant.

With that being said, I do believe there are a couple teams where Durant could beat the odds and start early on as a national rookie. One team that comes to mind is the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, who hold the second overall pick.

Winnipeg's starting inside national receiver is Julian Feoli-Gudino, who had zero career catches in two seasons before registering a mere 240 yards in 2014. The Laval product's three seasons of experience likely mean he has a good understanding of CFL coverages and can find soft spots in zones better than Durant (not that Julian has really proved any of that to be true), yet the latter has given me no reason to believe that he would not be able to learn quickly, like many international rookie receivers do during their first season. Feoli-Gudino, a fifth round draft pick in 2011, is not nearly as talented as Durant and cannot do anything, skill-wise, that Durant can’t do right now.

The 400 yards Fantuz accumulated during his rookie season is certainly doable for Durant, and I expect him to breakout in year two with around 600-700 yards.

As far as I am concerned, Durant is the best draft-eligible receiver since Fantuz in 2006. The former SFU Clan and Nevada Wolfpack member is reportedly viewed as the best player available in the best draft class in a very long time; far better than that of 2007 when a certain bust named Chris Bauman was selected with the top pick by the Hamilton Tiger-Cats. Durant was even viewed as a legitimate mid-to-late round future NFL draft pick after his incredible freshman year.

This kid is special, and I'm completely confident that he can follow in the footsteps of CIS-great Andy Fantuz.

Thursday, April 9, 2015

2015 CFL Mock Draft: Version Two


Another CFL combine has come and gone. Certain players' draft stock sky-rocketed with a great performance, while some others' plummeted. The combine isn't as important to team's as game tape or even interviews, however it allowed players to make a name for themselves or, for some, to cement their status as one of the best. With that being said, here is my 2015 CFL mock draft: Version two.

Round one

Round one, pick one: Ottawa REDBLACKS
Alex Mateas: Centre, UCONN

Mateas, an Ottawa native, could start right away for the Redblacks at either centre or guard. Ottawa lost Alex Krausnick-Groh to the Eskimos in Free Agency and will be looking to fill the void by either starting Mateas or veteran Jon Gott at centre, with the other playing left guard. Ottawa may choose to draft a different offensive lineman should Mateas' NFL draft stock rise with a solid combine or pro day. 

Round 1, pick 2: Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Danny Groulx: right tackle, Laval

Groulx cemented his status as one of the best offensive lineman available with a solid combine performance. Groulx looked like the most polished lineman during one-on-ones where he dominated, never losing a single matchup. The Laval product has great size and the skill to start as a Canadian tackle in the CFL; a luxury the Bombers would love to have.

Round 1, pick 3: Toronto Argonauts
Sukh Chungh: Guard, Calgary

Chungh, voted the top player during OL-DL one-on-ones, was a force to be reckoned with on Sunday morning. The former-Dino displayed powerful run-blocking as he does on film, and also possess' a mean streak. The Argos are aging along the offensive line and Chungh could help them for the next 10 years.

Round 1, pick 4: Montreal Alouettes:
Lemar Durant: WR, Simon Fraser

The Als wouldn't be able to pass on Durant if the NCAA star was still available when they're on the clock. Durant proved he was the most physically gifted receiver at the combine by leading all receivers with a 4.55 40-yard dash time, a 36" vertical jump and 26 reps on the bench press, a combine record for receivers. Durant looked inexperienced to all the grabbing and contact of the Canadian game during one-on-ones, however the CFL recently altered the "Illegal Contact" rule to the way it is in the NCAA and NFL, so the learning curve for Durant should be reduced. With two 30 year old national receivers and an aged international receiving corps to boot, Durant would bring some youth and potential to the Alouettes.

Round 1, pick 5: BC Lions
Sean McEwen: C, Calgary

McEwen was a four-year starter at Calgary and proved he is a well-rounded centre at the combine. The former Dino won five out of his seven match-ups during one-on-ones and displayed good footwork throughout the drills. BC's current centre, Matt Norman, has been inconsistent since moving into the middle and would benefit from a position change back to guard if McEwen is ready to start at centre.

Round 1, pick 6: Saskatchewan Roughriders
Daryl Waud: DT, Western

Waud didn't test very well, nor was he necessarily dominant during one-on-ones, but he still has the game-film that proves he is the best defensive player available in the draft class. During one-on-ones, Waud did show his ability to get off blocks using his hands and was probably the most explosive three-tech off the line, as shown by when he blew by Sean McEewen early in the drill before the Calgary centre was even out of his stance.

Round 1, pick 7: Edmonton Eskimos
Jacob Ruby: tackle, Richmond

Ruby needed to have a good performance at the combine to prove to scouts he could play tackle at the professional level and, simply put, he did not. He faced a speed-rusher during one-on-ones four times, and was blown by on all four reps. Nonetheless, Ruby's 47 career starts at an NCAA school and great size at 6'7" and 315 pounds give him the credibility to remain a lock for the first round. The Eskimos would likely be drafting Ruby to play guard, where his large frame bests suits him.

Round 1, pick 8: Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Nic Demski: SB, Manitoba

Demski put up great testing numbers including a 4.56 40-yard dash time among other great times/tests and was good during one-on-ones. Not all of his routes allowed the four-time All-Canadian to demonstrate his entire skill-set, but he made the most of what he was given and hauled in 5 passes. Demski would be given time to develop in Hamilton behind Andy Fantuz and Spencer Watt and may even replace Fantuz if the CIS-legend shockingly leaves Hamilton during next year's free agency period.

Round 1, pick 9: Calgary Stampeders
TeVaughn Campbell: CB, Regina

Campbell stole the show in Toronto after he set a new electronic combine record with a blazing 4.35 40-yard dash time, then followed that up with a great performance during one-on-ones. Campbell was a shutdown corner on Sunday, recording the lone interception of the day while only allowing a total of two completions overall. Campbell has good feet and is quick out of his breaks; 2 skills that are more important than ever after the league's latest rule changes that force defensive backs to be quicker and less physical. My only concern with Campbell is his open-field tackling ability.

Round two

Round 2, pick 1: Ottawa Redblacks
Chris Ackie: LB/DB, Wilfred Laurier

Very few players' draft stock's improved at the combine as much as Chris Ackie's did. Ackie, who is now legitimately challenging Waud (and now Tevaughn Campbell) for his status as the best defensive player available, tested extremely well and took reps at both linebacker and defensive back and excelled at both. At DB, Ackie only allowed two receptions despite often being matched up with the top receivers, and one of the catches occurred after Ackie jumped Mikhail Davidson's speed out but somehow missed the ball while trying to knock it down. Ackie didn't look out of place at linebacker either, effectively using a rip move against some of the running-backs in the pass-rushing drill. The Redblacks would love to possess a great 1-2 punch featuring Ackie and 2014 first round pick Antoine Pruneau at linebacker and safety.

Round 2, pick 2: Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Addison Richards: WR, Regina

The Bombers will have struck gold if they passed on WR Lemar Durant in favour of an offensive lineman in round one only to land a different receiver that also has first round talent in Addison Richards in the second round. The Regina-native performed well at the combine and could come in and make an impact early in his career with the Blue Bombers, who are starving for Canadian talent at the receiver position.

Round 2, pick 3: Toronto Argonauts
Maxx Forde: DE/DT, Idaho

At 6'3" and 271 pounds, Forde will likely play defensive tackle in the CFL. With a 4.78 40-yard dash, Forde should be a shifty force in the middle and will find success during pass-rushes. The Argos would be smart to draft and develop some Canadian defensive line talent after changing up their starting NAT-INT ratio in a trade for DE Ricky Foley.

Round 2, pick 4: Montreal Alouettes
Brett Boyko: OT, UNLV

Boyko's NFL draft stock seems to be heading south after an elbow injury amongst other things, so there's a chance he ends up one-and-done in the NFL after bouncing around practice rosters. It worked out well for Alouettes the last time they drafted an NFL-bound Canadian lineman; 2011 third round pick Philip Blake recently signed with the club after a few years down south. The Alouettes' current starting offensive tackles, Jeff Perrett and Josh Bourke, are both in their thirties but are coming off great seasons for both of them, so the Als can afford to wait for Boyko. 

Round 2, pick 5: BC Lions
Shaquille Murray-Lawrence: RB, UNLV

Murray made a splash after clocking the fastest electronically-timed 40-yard dash in the CFL history with a 4.41, only to later have his brand new record smashed by Tevaughn Campbell's 4.35 time. Lawrence was productive down south with UNLV and ran for 552 rushing yards in 2014 with 9 touchdowns.

Round 2, pick 6: Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Adam Konar: LB, Calgary

The Bombers will need some depth behind newly-signed National MLB Sam Hurl. Konar still, in my opinion, is the best linebacker available after a quiet combine. He racked up 40 tackles and an interception last season with the Dinos while still recovering from a torn ACL suffered in 2013. He hasn't played very many CIS games in his career, so the sky could be the limit for Konar, or, the lack of experience may hurt him.

Round 2, pick 7: Edmonton Eskimos
Kwame Adjei: LB/DB, Mount Allison

Adjei didn't necessarily stand out at the combine, however I doubt that would be the case if there were tackling drills involved. The Eskimos lost Chris Rwawakumba to the Lions in free agency and have plenty of uncertainty regarding their safeties. Adjei would also provide good depth behind Alonzo Lawrence at Sam Linebacker and could be a solid special teamer. 
 
Round 2, pick 8: Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Campbell Allison: G, Eastern Michigan

 While playing both guard and tackle, Campbell and was very good during one-on-one's. He has great size at 6'6", 313 pounds and possess' quick feet for a lineman of that stature. Campbell didn't play very many games during his career with Eastern Michigan, but is worthy of a 2nd-round pick after a promising sophomore season and good combine performance.
 
Round 2, pick 9: Calgary Stampeders
Karl Lavoie: tackle, Laval
 
Lavoie's torn quad that forced him to miss the combine could hurt his draft stock as scout's surely would have liked to see how the Rouge-et-Or product would fare during one-on-one's with his underwhelming size. The tape tells the truth, so selecting Lavoie shouldn't be viewed as a risky pick by the Stamps.
 
Round three
 
Round 3, pick 1: Calgary Stampeders
Nick Shortill: LB, McMaster
 
The Stamps lost Canadian linebacker Keenan McDougall to Saskatchewan this off-season and will look to stock up on Canadian talent for special teams. Shortill possess' the speed and open-field tackling ability to become a special team's demon for years to come. 
 
Round 3, pick 2: Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Byron Archambault: LB, Montreal
Archambault is described by many as a "big, throwback linebacker". In today's game, with big size must come good speed, which the strong-man lacks. Archambault may develop into a great run-stopping linebacker for the Stamps, or, could be a career depth player who's brightest moment came from his 41 bench press reps at the 2015 combine.
 
Round 3, pick 3: Toronto Argonauts
Brandon Tennant: DT, Laval
 
The Argos will have greatly boosted their defensive line talent this off-season if they draft Forde and Tennant to join Ricky Foley among the Argo D-line. Tennant was far from spectacular at the combine during one-on-ones, however I noticed almost none of his battles had a clear cut winner at the end of it; he never beat the opposing guard or centre clean, nor did they ever stop Tennant from moving the line of scrimmage. As a huge gap-plugging defensive tackle, that's all you can ask for.
 
Round 3, pick 4: Calgary Stampeders
Jake Harty: SB, Calgary
 
Calgary is the only city Jake Harty has ever known, and the Stamps love drafting hometown Dino players. Harty plays a similar game to that of Hamilton's Luke Tasker: they both make up for their lack of speed with a pair of sure-hands and good route-running ability. The Stamps lost Brad Sinopoli to Ottawa this off-season and will hope Harty can push another former-Dino in Anthony Parker to take the next step.
 
Round 3, pick 5: BC Lions
Ron Omara: LB/DE, St. Francis Xavier
 
The Lions will need to address their lack of Canadian depth on the defensive side of the ball at one point during draft. Omara attended an NFL regional scouting combine as well as the CFL combine, and made a name for himself in Toronto after participating in drills as a linebacker and defensive end. Omara, who clocked a 4.71 40-yard dash, will likely play linebacker in the professional ranks.
 
Round 3, pick 6: Hamilton Tiger Cats
James Bodanis: G, Michigan State
 
Bodanis could turn out to be a 3rd round steal for the Ti-Cats. The former-Spartan had a great performance during one-on-ones and likely would have had a much higher draft stock had he spent more than one year at Michigan State.
 
Round 3, pick 7: Edmonton Eskimos
Ettore Lattanzio: DT, Ottawa
 
Despite his lack of size, Ettore Lattanzio has always found a way to get it done. Lattanzio won the J.P. Metras trophy in 2014, awarded to the best down lineman in the nation and continued to find success at the combine after a good showing during one-on-ones.
 
Round 3, pick 8: Saskatchewan Roughriders
Melvin Abankwah: SB, St. Mary's
 
Nicknamed "Mr. Wiggle", Abankwah was easily the best receiver during one-on-ones. The St. Mary's product consistently burned defenders down-field and showed great route-running skills. Abankwah was relatively quiet at St. Mary's, but is surely on many teams' radar after a great combine performance.
 
Round 3, pick 9: Calgary Stampeders
Tyler Varga: RB, Yale
 
Varga may have a long career as a special-teamer in the NFL after a great senior bowl performance. If he does ever come north, he could be an even better version of Jon Cornish.
 
 

Thursday, March 19, 2015

2015 CFL Mock Draft: Version One


After nearly a month of research, watching film and typing, I have finally finalized my first 2015 Canadian Football League mock draft. 

I will likely have two more mock drafts released (one after the combine and one after the NFL draft) as players' stocks tend to trend either way based on those two events. 

ROUND ONE: 

Round One, Pick one: Ottawa Reblacks
Alex Mateas: centre/guard, UCONN 

Mateas, an Ottawa native, could start right away for the Redblacks at either centre or guard. Ottawa lost Alex Krausnick-Groh to the Eskimos in Free Agency and will be looking to fill the void by either starting Mateas or veteran Jon Gott at centre, with the other playing left guard. 

Ottawa may choose to draft a different offensive lineman should Mateas' NFL draft stock rise with a solid combine or pro day. 

Round one, pick two: Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Sukh Chungh: left guard, Calgary

The Bombers have plenty of options with their second overall pick. They are most starved for Canadian talent at the receiver position, on the defensive line and of course, on the offensive line. Every one of those positions includes a can't miss prospect (Chungh, LeMar Durant, Daryl Waud), however I'm beginning to think the team that gave up a league high 71 sacks goes with the safe pick: Sukh Chungh from the University of Calgary.

The Bombers already have four possible starters for the three interior offensive line positions, but need to be prepared in case injuries pile up as they did in 2014. 

Chungh is a natural left guard that would slot in behind Chris Greaves. Chungh was especially dominant when run-blocking and has first overall pick talent with a scary combination of size, athleticism and strength. Whoever impresses Kyle Walters the most at the combine will be in Blue and Gold next season; don't be surprised if it's LeMar Durant or even Danny Groulx, which would throw off my entire mock draft.

Round one, pick three: Toronto Argonauts 
Daryl Waud: defensive tackle, Western

The Argos are aging along the offensive line, but are hoping 2013 first round pick Matt Sewell will break out in his sophmore season after he returned to McMaster for his senior season. 

That leaves defensive line as their biggest need for Canadians, which is an issue they addressed when they traded for defensive end Ricky Foley. But who do they have to step up should the soon-to-be 33 year old Foley, or another Canadian, go down with an injury? 

The next man up for the boatmen may end up being Waud, who is considered a CFL-ready prospect. 

Waud is an athletic down lineman that is particularly good against the pass. His height at 6'5 will also affect opposing quarterback's throwing lanes, and his weight at 285 pounds makes him a shiftier threat that makes guards move their feet. Waud will need to prove himself as a run-stuffer.

Round one, pick four: Montreal Alouettes 
Lemar Durant: wide receiver, Simon Fraser

Jim Popp won't even hesitate before selecting LeMar Durant if the talented wideout is available when the Alouettes are on the clock. 

The Alouettes boast the leagues oldest receiving corps after they signed two veterans in Nik Lewis and Fred Stamps. They're national receivers, Sam Giguere and Eric Deslauriers, will both be in their 30s once Giguere has his birthday on July 11th. Deslauriers, 33, has only averaged 166 yards per season but is a solid contributer as a blocker in the run game; a duty Nik Lewis make take over from the 8 year veteran.

Durant is viewed by many as the most talented player in draft and will surely not be available for Popp's taking if some of the top ranked lineman sign NFL contracts before the CFL draft. 

Round one, pick five: BC Lions 
Sean McEwen: centre, Calgary 

McEwen, who was a four year starter, may be the best centre former Calgary Dinos coach Blake Nill has ever produced. 

McEwen is a natural centre who reminds me a lot of former Stampeder centre Brett Jones. The Calgary Dino will likely replace centre Matt Norman in BC, who was underwhelming in his second season at centre. In such event, Norman would likely move back over to guard. 

Round one, pick six: Saskatchewan Roughriders 
Danny Groulx: offensive tackle, Laval

Saskatchewan lost Ben Heenan to the NFL this off-season and will be looking to replace the Indianapolis Colt with another national. 

The Laval product is a perfect fit in Saskatchewan. He brings more nastiness to a Rider offensive line that is already known for their mean streak. 

Groulx's footwork is good enough for professional football while his quickness and speed is also as good as any CFL prospect in the last few years. Groulx excels in both pass and run blocking and can make blocks downfield on screen passes. 

Round one, pick seven: Edmonton Eskimos
Jacob Ruby: offensive tackle, Richmond 

The Eskimos need to boast their national talent all over the offensive line. They ended up losing Matt O'Donnell to the NFL which leaves a big void to fill. Although he played tackle in university, that player can hopefully be Ruby by the 2016 season. If Ruby does manage to beat the odds and successfully transition to the CFL as a tackle, he could end up being one of the biggest draft steals in this class.

Unfortunately, I don't believe Ruby is quick enough to play tackle in the CFL against the speed rushes of most international pass rushers. 

I did, however, take notice of Ruby's aggressiveness and power as a run blocker. Given Ruby's excellent size (6'7, 315lbs), the University of Richmond star should smoothly transition over to guard with the Eskimos. Ruby will be a project, but is the most logical pick for Edmonton based on the remaining talent available. 

Round one, pick eight: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 
Nic Demski: slot-back, Manitoba 

The Cats have no shortage of offensive or defensive lineman, so I figure they'll take the best player available with the 8th overall pick. 

Demski has the talent to be a top-3 draft pick and will be given time to develop in Hamilton. Demski is essentially Chad Owens but with better size as he's always a threat to take the football to endzone whether he's punt returning or catching passes in the flats. The 6'0, 215 pound speedster can stretch the field as a deep threat and is underrated as a run-blocker. Demski could replace Andy Fantuz if he shockingly leaves as a free agent as Hamilton's number one national receiver. 

Round one, pick nine: Calgary Stampeders
Brett Boyko: left tackle, UNLV 

It may seem too early into the draft for the Stamps to pick up an NFL-bound player, but there's always a chance Boyko is one and done in the NFL and comes back north. In that case, the Stamps would get a sure starter at either tackle or guard with All-Star potential. 

ROUND TWO: 

Round two, pick one: Ottawa Redblacks 
Addison Richards: wide receiver, Regina

Ottawa signed Brad Sinopoli this off-season and also have Matt Carter as their second national receiver, however it's unknown if Sinopoli will ever emerge as a true number one Canadian slot-back. Richards has first round talent and could be that guy for Ottawa. 

Round two, pick two: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 
Jake Harty: slot-back, Calgary 

The Bombers need to boast their Canadian talent at the receiver position. Harty won't see the field in 2015, but can hopefully compete for a starting job come 2016. 

Round two, pick three: Toronto Argonauts 
Karl Lavoie: left tackle, Laval

The Argos could use some more youth along the offensive line, and the 6'4, 285 pound tackle from Laval could provide some depth in the future. 

Round two, pick four: Montreal Alouettes 
Kwame Adjei: defensive back, Mount Allison 

Montreal's lone defensive starter is the hard-hitting Marc-Olivier Brouillette at safety. Adjei plays a similar game to Brouillette and would help make an even stronger case that Montreal has the best Canadian depth in the league. 

Round two, pick five: BC Lions 
Brandon Tennant: defensive tackle, Laval 
The BC Lions let go of two starting defensive tackles from 2014 in Eric Taylor and Khalif Mitchell, meaning they are looking for some youth, and possibly a ratio change, to fill that position. Tennant is a big boy at 6'2, 309 pounds and is capable of plugging gaps as he did at Laval. 

Round two, pick six: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (from SSK) 
Adam Konar: linebacker, Calgary 
The Bombers recently picked up national middle linebacker Sam Hurl from Saskatchewan to start, and will need some depth behind him if that were to be the case.

Konar is a prototypical Canadian middle linebacker at 6'2, 225 lbs and racked up an impressive 40 tackles with an interception and forced fumble during his senior season at Calgary. Oddly enough, his old coach at Calgary Blake Nill compares his former All-Canadian middle linebacker to Sam Hurl. 

Round two, pick seven: Edmonton Eskimos 
Sean Smith: offensive tackle, McMaster

Fortunately for the Eskimos, they have great Canadian depth at the receiver and defensive line positions, thus are able to continue to draft and develop their offensive line. 

Smith is another offensive tackle but has better size than Ruby at 6'7 and 310 pounds. Smith will likely stay at offensive tackle and will develop for a few seasons. His ceiling isn't particularly high. 

Round two, pick eight: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 
Chris Ackie: defensive back, Laurier

Ackie is a lot like Hamilton's current national safety Craig Butler. Both can play either safety or linebacker and have similar body frames. The hard-hitting Laurier defensive back will likely play SAM linebacker at 210 pounds, but a solid 40-yard dash time at the combine may make team's re-think his ability to play safety, thus improving his draft stock. 

Round two, pick nine: Calgary Stampeders 
Nick Shortill: linebacker, McMaster

The Stamps lost Keenan MacDougall to the Riders this off-season and will need to replace his presence on special teams and on the defensive depth chart. 

Shortill's speed and open field tackling ability has me convinced he'll be a dominant special teams player in the CFL. Despite his body frame, he's best suited as a WILL linebacker in the Stamps defence. 

Saturday, March 7, 2015

Sheets Won't be Entering a Friendly CFL Running-back Market



"Holy Sheets!"

According to tweets on his official Twitter account, former Saskatchewan Roughriders running-back Kory Sheets will not be returning to the Oakland Raiders in 2015. 

It's also safe to say Sheets won't be returning to the NFL at all. The former 101st Grey Cup MVP is coming off a torn Achilles tendon suffered in the pre-season that sidelined him for the entire season. Sheets, who more than likely was going to get released from Oakland anyway, was placed on the injured reserve while the Raiders went 3-13. Fortunately for CFL fans, there is absolutely zero incentive for another NFL team to pick up any soon-to-be 30 year old running-back, especially one that is coming off a major injury and has five career rushing yards in the NFL.

Sheets may not attract a very large crowd of serious buyers when he hits the CFL open market either. Sheets will understandably demand a hefty salary, something teams typically don't give to running-backs in free agency, and particularly those coming off major injury. 

Since the running-back position is the easiest to fill in football, very few teams pay more than one running-back more than a rookie contract. The numbers on these rookie deals can vary, but are usually in the range of $51,000 to $80,000. To further prove that point, only four teams in 2014 had their starting tail-back on a regular contract; meanwhile Hamilton, Toronto, Edmonton, Winnipeg and Saskatchewan all had their main rusher on rookie deals, which vary based on the player's agent or even his NFL experience.

If Sheets were to join with a club that already pays their current starter a veteran starter's contract, that team would be forced to make certain roster changes. If we take the Alouettes for example, they would either have to release starter Brandon Whitaker, whom has had his own injury issues as of late, to take on Sheets' salary or keep Whitaker and cut another starting player from a different positional group. While both seem highly unlikely, Montreal would probably rather release Whitaker as, again: CFL clubs don't pay two 'backs starter's money. As demonstrated perfectly on the Alouettes roster, it makes far more sense for the Als to keep Chris Rainey and Tyrell Sutton, who signed a three year extension recently of likely around $80k, with their cheap contracts than Whitaker and his veteran contract, as the production is similar in a secondary role. 

Sheets' salary would also be larger than that of almost all other starting running-backs, and offering that to a player who's coming off a torn Achilles' tendon rather than a younger starter, like Whitaker, whose on a cheaper contract- or even in many other cases a rookie contact- doesn't make a whole lot of sense. 

But let's not forgot about who we're talking about here. Kory Sheets has an amazing 2,875 career rushing yards with 23 career rushing touchdowns in only two CFL seasons. Sheets had 1,598 rushing yards with a 5.6 yard average during Saskatchewan's Grey Cup winning year; and did that while missing four games! 

Kory Sheets is going to sign somewhere. Unless he suffers a major setback in his rehab that affects his play, he will most definitely reach 1000 yards on whichever team he signs with. 

Calgary, BC, Hamilton, Edmonton can automatically be eliminated from contention. Calgary already has the best 'back in the game with Jon Cornish, while BC also has themselves an elite national starter in Andrew Harris. The Tiger-Cats just gave CJ Gable & Nic Grigsby their first veteran deals and are excited to see what the two young backs can accomplish together. Edmonton, meanwhile, may have their own Kory Sheets in John White, who was on pace for 1,700 yards had he stayed healthy during his first year as the starter. White, who has no NFL experience, is likely making peanuts on his rookie deal while his back-up, Kendial Lawrence, just got first pay-cheque in an contract extension with the Eskies. 

That leaves Winnipeg, Toronto, Montreal, Ottawa and of course, Saskatchewan. 

For reasons mentioned above, and because they are already hard-pressed against the cap, Montreal does not look like Kory Sheets' next destination. Jim Popp already extended several key guys such as SJ Green, Chip Cox, Bear Woods and Geoff Tisdale in the re-signing phase, and also brought in 4 other Free Agents in February. His Quarterback will also be looking for a new deal next off-season. Montreal has had their fun (and they already have an expensive running-back), so they're out. 

The Argos are an interesting team. They went with Curtis Steele and Steve Slaton in 2014, whom were both on rookie contracts, but neither emerged as the starter. They recently gave Steele an extension that will probably pay him similar numbers to those on Sutton's deal. It would make perfect sense for Toronto to bring in Kory Sheets; he'd be a huge upgrade over Slaton or Steele and they have money to spend. 

Or do they?

Steve Slaton is definitely earning more than league minimum as the former 3rd round NFL draft pick of the Houston Texans played 5 years in the NFL before coming up north. The Argos also recently signed Bernard Scott, who also has 5 years of NFL experience, and would likely release at least one of these well-paid running-backs, which is no big deal in CFL, where contracts aren't guaranteed.

I think it comes down to David Braley's stubbornness as the owner. He has to be the reason the Argos didn't spend, or at least extend some contracts, in free agency. It could also be hard for Jim Barker to recruit Sheets due to stadium issues and other off-field problems the Argos sadly have. Don't write them off, but it's to envision the boatmen spending big money on Sheets. 

Winnipeg and Ottawa are in similar boats. Both have a starting running-back (Chevon Walker in Ottawa and Paris Cotton in Winnipeg) but neither are exactly cemented as the number one guy. They both also have money to spend, and wouldn't have to release their current starter (Cotton's entering year two of rookie deal). That being said, the Bombers won't sign Kory Sheets. They like what they've seen in Cotton and have already spent enough in free agency. While Sheets' is not a must-sign by any means for them, Ottawa is a more likely destination for Mr. #1Time. 

And of course, I can't forget about the Riders, who will certainly be in the thick of all negotiations. They probably have their running-back of the future in 26 year old Anthony Allen and also have a good, but expensive back-up in national bruiser Jerome Messam. In order to retain Sheets, Saskatchewan would have to release another starter under contract to free the cap space, similarly to what they had to do with now-Bomber centre Dom Picard. Sheets may grant Saskatchewan a "home-town discount", but nothing large enough to keep the Riders from having to chop Messam off the roster in favour of a rookie 'back's contract (Steven Miller?) as well as another well-paid player. Saskatchewan doesn't need Kory Sheets, but could make it happen if they so desire. 

While the market may not be as hot for his services as Kory Sheets may think, the 101st Grey Cup MVP will find a home in 2015; but with who? 

Sheets may be a bona-fide elite CFL running-back, but that doesn't necessarily mean he's as hot as a commodity for most teams as you may think. Despite it almost being a guaranteed that Sheets surpasses 1000 yards in 2015, he's still a risky signing, especially if you have to release another starter to afford him. 

Running-back's come a dime-a-dozen; it's always a risk signing one for big money who's on the wrong side of 30 and is coming off an Achilles injury, even if there name is Kory Sheets.

It's a risk some will be willing to take.  

Tuesday, March 3, 2015

Alouettes Shouldn't Sell Themselves Short at QB


The biggest question mark regarding the Montreal Alouettes last off-season was that surrounding their Quarterback situation, where fans wondered and hoped that GM Jim Popp had found Anthony Calvillo's successor in Troy Smith, the 2006 Heisman Trophy winner from Ohio State University.

It would seem as though one year later, Alouettes fans find themselves in the exact same situation as the season prior; hoping another Quarterback who had a promising finish to his rookie season will take the next step in year 2 and replace Calvillo, with that new supposed successor now being former Tennessee Volunteer Jonathon Crompton.

As we all know, the Troy Smith era ended horribly. Smith, who was the unquestioned starter heading into training camp and the regular season, led Montreal to a 1-5 start while displaying terrible accuracy and high-school level decision-making. He was eventually benched in favour of Alex Brink (who was later passed over in favour of Crompton), and was released by week 17 after spending weeks burried on the 6-game injured list.

This time around, the Alouettes won't be making the same mistake they made with Smith; or at least I hope/ don't think they will.

GM Jim Popp decided to bring in some competition for Crompton in Free Agency, rather than naming him "The Guy" before the season like his team did with Smith one year prior.


The Alouettes inked former Tiger-Cat backup QB Dan LeFevour, who showed lots of potential during 4 starts with Hamilton in 2014 before suffering a torn ligament in his knee, to a one year contract. Popp isn't letting Crompton get too comfortable heading into his second season with the Als, a new approach the club seems to be taking with their Quarterback situation that I completely agree with.

Now I am by no means saying Jonathon Crompton will be a bust like Troy Smith. And while I'm also not necessarily sold on him either, I do believe he can be a serviceable Quarterback in this league, which compared to Troy Smith, is a huge improvement. 

So why should the Alouettes display what would seem like a lack of faith in Crompton, who has a playoff win under his belt, by making it an open QB competition in training camp come June? 

In short, I think the ceiling of Dan LeFevour's potential is higher than that of Crompton. 

We seem to have uncovered a lot on Jonathon Crompton during his 11 games with the Alouettes. Crompton seems like what coaches call a game-manager: which is a Quarterback who, despite relatively poor individual statistics such as passing yards and touchdowns, manages to perform well enough to win games. Game-managers often benefit from strong defences and rushing attacks on their team, or in Crompton's case, great play from a great receiving corps.

Crompton relied heavily on his big receivers to make plays for him, something that isn't always a bad idea when you have elite targets such as Duron Carter and SJ Green on the receiving end. However, this gutsy play-style Crompton displayed tends to be an unsustainable approach in football, and I don't expect Crompton to "revolutionize" the position with his top target Duron Carter gone to the NFL in 2015. 

In year one with the Alouettes, Crompton finished with an eye-opening 8-2 record, along with a huge blow-out playoff win over the BC Lions to boot. While a large majority of the those wins were mainly because of Montreal's great defensive play, Crompton undeniably did his part in turning the Alouettes season around. 

In essentially 11 starts, Crompton finished the year with 2,482 yards passing, 11 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, a 58.1 completion percentage and a Quarterback Rating of 85.2; below average, but serviceable stats for a starting QB. 

While it seems unfair to label Crompton as a "game-manager" so early into his career, it's who he has always been ever since his college days as a Tennessee Volunteer. Crompton never passed for more than 2,800 yards in a season with the Vols, and operated a run-heavy offence that saw the majority of Crompton's big plays come off play-action. 

A full training camp with Montreal and a new offensive coordinator in Turk Schonert will undoubtably help #18 out, and a competition with Dan LeFevour may even bring out the best of him. 

LeFevour, meanwhile, played tremendous for the Tiger-Cats in four starts while starting QB Zach Collaros was out with a concussion. 

Despite his 1-3 record that can primarily be blamed on poor defence and far too many penalties on all three sides of the ball, the former Central Michigan Star played very well, throwing for 1,276 yards, 4 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, a 67.8 completion percentage and QB rating of 92; which amount to an average of 319 passing and 78.5 rushing yards per game. 

Speaking of rushing yards, LeFevour's legs and presence in the ground game are one of the many differences between him and Crompton. In fact, it's safe to say the two 2010 NFL draft selections are basically complete opposites judging by their play styles. 

LeFevour is anything but a game-manager. As shown by his stats with the Tiger-Cats and while at Central Michigan University, LeFevour has always been the centre piece of the offence. While at CMU, LeFevour was a four year starter who put on a show; typically throwing around 3,300 yards per season and 27 touchdowns with an impressive 66.4 career completion percentage. He also had 2,948 career rushing yards and 47 touchdowns. Scarily, the former 6th round NFL draft pick's stats are nearly identical to those he posted with Hamilton. 

LeFevour's knee injury is one concern  regarding the third year pivot. Fortunately, he has no history of injuries and frankly, it's not 1985; modern medicine and technology has recovering from major knee injuries quicker and better than ever- unless of course your name is Robert Griffin III or Derrick Rose. 

LeFevour may also not seem like a perfect fit for Turk Schonert's offensive system. While I would expect the system to be slightly adjusted to LeFevour's mobility if he was named the starter, I would also like to point out that he has never had trouble as a drop-back passer before in his career. Not only that, but he'll be playing behind one of the league's best offensive lines, a huge bonus for the development of both LeFevour and Crompton. 

It may seem un-loyal to Crompton, who is 9-3 as a starter, to not have him number one on the depth chart on day one of training camp, but the Alouettes really can't afford to make the same mistake they made with Troy Smith in handing him the starting job. 

As I mentioned earlier, Crompton is already far better than Smith and won't be a bust like the former Buckeye, but the Alouettes should be careful with naming him the starter after only starting half the season. If Crompton truly is the better Quarterback, he'll prove it in the pre-season. Unlike last year, Coach Tom Higgins has the luxury of having two young talented Quarterback's and should give them both a chance to be "The Guy." 

If LeFevour isn't given a fair shot with split 50/50 reps in practice, the Als may be selling themselves short and wasting his talent, if in fact he is a better option at Quarterback than Jonathon Crompton. 

Dan deserves an opportunity to be "The Man" for Montreal, and should be given every opportunity to be successful and help the team. The Als have made it clear through Free Agency that they are going all out on a Grey Cup run in 2015, and should probably make sure they have their best option behind centre if they wish to make an appearance at Investors Group Field come late November. 

The best way to do that is with an open competition in training camp.